Craig Atkinson

9/19/2005

Canadian Dollar soars

Filed under: General — Craig @ 2:36 pm

I’ve been watching the USD/CAD chart a lot recently. I think because I live in Canada, I don’t feel as comfortable taking on a position in this cross, as I have a longer history of watching the exchange rates.

It is especially poignant to recall the summer I spent working in Maine and getting paid in US dollars. I had a thick wad of cash stuffed in a envelope in the glove compartment of my car as I sped back across the border into Montreal. Suddenly my money was worth 50% more. However the experience also turned me into a exchange rate watcher and I continued over the years to monitor that important aspect of Canadian commerce.

As I have a good familiarity with the USD/CAD historical rates, I can second guess myself out of believing that a particular technical chart setup will work. For example in the past week I started watching a down channel on the daily USDCAD chart. It seemed to say to me that there was a high probability of further weakness in the USD against the CAD. The high Gold, Oil and commodity prices all seemed to have pushed the CAD to multi-year highs and now the markets are getting excited about the Bank of Canada raising interest rates. However, I just didn’t want to believe that a 13 year price high could occur so rapidly without retracement or some congested ranging or even a major trend reverses such as oil oil sinking back to $45.

USDCAD daily chart Sept 19

Well today it happened. Very swiftly and effeciently. It happened during the New York session and continued 150 pips down which is more than the usual 98 pips average daily volatility. I can honestly say that I’m not suprised that the markets got the best of me. Now if I can just train myself to commit to a position when I believe the odds are in my favour. You can’t win all of them but you can limit your losses and win big when you are right.

9/7/2005

A little friendly contest

Filed under: General — Craig @ 4:08 pm

Well I’ve put the summer to good use. Yes I wasn’t posting but I have been working hard and planning new ventures and new ideas. Many of these business ideas are online and I’m very encouraged to see opportunities just exploding with advertising and affilliate models raking in the money. The revolution of the internet has finally come and the dot-coms have already fled the building so it is a great time for me to get into it.

I’ve decided to focus a little on search engine optimization (SEO) and have challenged Derek Wallace to a contest to see who can raise their public Google Page Rank higher in the next few months until the next update. Both of us are hitting a public PR of 3 and it needs to go higher. Hopefully in the process I can reclaim the top spot for my name search :) No offense to Craig in Southport!!

Let the games begin!

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